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Trump-Modi Trade Talks: Impact on India’s Economy and Growth
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Trump-Modi Trade Talks: Impact on India’s Economy and Growth
The trade war that began under U.S. President Donald Trump has resulted in major changes in global commerce relations. The Trump tariffs have already affected a host of nations, including China. India has, however, been able to escape the consequences of these tariffs due to relief acts that came into effect after the recent Trump-Modi Trade Talk in the United States, where he had trade talks with Trump.
Currently, India seems to be free from tariffs, although things are still quite volatile. Trump has previously stated that he might impose tariffs in the future based on how India decides to apply its tariffs for American goods. Regardless of how uncertain things are, there are opportunities for some Indian sectors due to the issues in US-China relations and the US-China trade war.
Let’s look at the significant points of this change:
What Did Trump Mention as Tariffs on India? (Trump tariffs on India)
In the past, Trump was determined to place tariffs on many nations, including India. However, after his talks with PM Modi, he changed his position and said that he plans to “investigate and analyze,” which hints at no standard tariff on Indian goods hence US-India trade relations could be expected to be good.
Can India Benefit from the Tariffs on China?
Yes! India's trade benefits have gained from the more marked American tariffs placed on China in the past. The 25% Trump tax on Chinese products saw India's export growth while it’s strong in burning pharma sectors and electronics. If such a pattern prevails, Indian exporters will buy greater dollars from the American economy. If achieved, this would serve as an enhanced revenue changer to the Indian economy.
Key Agreements Between Modi And Trump
$500 billion was the earmarked economic target set by Modi and Trump during their meeting, which rests at a marginally lower than favorable trade rate on their sides. In the hope of achieving this, both leaders expressed their commitment to enhanced business relations. Both OECD and IEA are keeping an eye on these developments as they pose a substantial economic value internationally.
1. Oil And Gas Imports
India Modify the headquarters of Reliance Industries with Chinese ONGC and Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) set to become more aggressive marketers. Employing advanced and AI-driven marketer appliances will drastically increase productivity. Therefore, America will now supply India with more gas and oil to assist trade deficit problems and simultaneously enhance exports.
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2. US-India Defense Cooperation
F-35 Interceptor Fighter throughout the Soviet Union, it was known that India was one of the largest F35 stealth fighter jet customers, so American plans to give F-35 spirit, Interceptor Jets, to India could not come out as a shocker under US-India Defense Cooperation. Indian political technology is markedly at the upper step level while engaging in strong cooperation with America.
Impact on Defense Stocks:
Engineering best-equipped arms dealing Indian defense firms such as Bharat Electronics Limited (BEL), Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL), and Larsen & Toubro (L&T) will receive massive paybacks as these benefits become reality.
3. Civil Nuclear Agreement
The leaders deliberated implementing the Civil Nuclear Deal, which would enable India to enhance its nuclear power generation capabilities.
Impact on Energy and Infrastructure Companies:
Firms such as L&T, BHEL, and NTPC may receive greater funding for nuclear initiatives.
4. Technology and AI Collaboration
The two nations reached a consensus on joint efforts for AI, space technology, and semiconductor production.
Impact on Technology Stocks:
Indian IT companies such as TCS, Infosys, Wipro, and HCL Technologies stand to benefit from these developments greatly.
Impact on the Semiconductor Industry:
Moreover, semiconductor companies such as Tata Electronics, Jabil, Kaynes Technology, and CG Power may benefit as well.
5. Trade Route and Infrastructure Development
A new trade route linking India, Israel, Italy, and the US is being established. This initiative is expected to bring significant changes to the region, including investment in rail, roads, and undersea cables.
Impact on Infrastructure Stocks:
L&T, Adani Ports, and GMR Infrastructure may take their opportunities from this venture.
6. Surrender of Tahawwur Rana
The US has consented to surrenderTahawhur Rana, who is one of the masterminds of the 2008 Mumbai terrorist attacks. There is the strengthening of safety assurances by both these countries, which would result in important political functions for India.
Conclusion
It is the Modi-Trump trade deal that marks this great step forward in strengthening US-Indian relations. Major agreements in energy, defense, technology, and infrastructure enable India to optimize this potential to grow economically. Investors, however, need to sit tight and listen well to what is happening for future opportunities that would emerge from these booming sectors.
Disclaimer: No buy or sell recommendation is given. No investment advice it is. The blog is only for information purposes.